Havish M Consulting
Customer Case Study · HR · Sales Workforce Analytics
Financial Services × Havish M Consulting

Find the next resignation before it's written

A leading financial services firm's rural sales force was losing a quarter of its people a year. HMC traced attrition through every layer of the sales hierarchy, linked it to targets, predicted who was likely to leave, and gave HR a simulator to test retention spend before committing it.

ClientLeading Financial Services Firm FunctionHR · Rural Sales ThemeAOP & Attrition Analytics
Annualized attrition after two quarters
0%
▼ from 25%
Exits within 6 months of joining
−0%
▼ after onboarding redesign
Early warning on high-risk employees
0days ahead
▲ from "found out at resignation"
Retention budget moved to high-risk segments
0%
▲ from blanket, one-size schemes

Figures indicative; validated metrics available on request.

The Challenge

A quarter of the sales force leaving, and no one sure why

Rural Consumer Durable, Rural Liabilities and Rural Term Loan run on large field teams with stretching AOP targets. Exits were rising month on month, recruitment costs were climbing, and retention spend was spread evenly across everyone.

High attrition

Turnover was significant, especially in critical roles. It disrupted operations and pushed up recruitment costs.

Lack of insight

No one understood what was driving exits, so effective retention strategies were hard to design.

Untargeted spend

Money went into generic retention tactics with no clear view of their impact or fit with what employees needed.

Five layers deep

NSM, ZSM, RSM and ASM layers hid where exits clustered. A national average masked teams losing more than half their people.

HMC Approach

From a monthly attrition number to a retention plan per segment

Built with HR business partners and sales leadership, using HRMS records, AOP plans, performance data, engagement surveys and exit interviews.

Select a step to see what happened.

Discover · Join the data

Employee records, AOP plans and exit data lived in separate systems.

  • Joined HRMS headcount, monthly exits, band, age and tenure.
  • Mapped every sales officer to their ASM, RSM, ZSM and NSM.
  • Coded exit-interview reasons and linked survey scores to individuals.

Deliverable: One employee-month table, from April onwards.

Design · Agree the measures

Leaders agreed one definition before arguing about the number.

  • Annualized attrition = exits ÷ average headcount × 12 ÷ months elapsed.
  • AOP achievement measured at the ASM territory level.
  • Early attrition = exits within six months of joining.

Deliverable: Metric dictionary and dashboard wireframes.

Build · Dashboard and model

A Power BI dashboard for leaders and a risk model for HR.

  • Pages: Home, Attrition, Chain, Decomposition tree, Scatter AOP + Attrition.
  • Predictive model scoring every employee's likelihood of leaving.
  • Segments with a matched retention action and cost per head.

Deliverable: Power BI report, risk scores and segment playbook.

Adopt · Monthly people review

Attrition joined the sales review, not just the HR review.

  • NSMs and ZSMs review their own decomposition tree every month.
  • HRBPs act on the high-risk list before resignations arrive.
  • Retention budget allocated by segment, not spread evenly.

Deliverable: Review cadence and HRBP action tracker.

Scale · Beyond rural sales

The same model extends to other businesses and roles.

  • Monthly model refresh with new joiners and exits.
  • Effect of each retention action tracked against a control group.
  • AOP setting informed by attrition risk in each territory.

Deliverable: Refresh routine and measurement plan.

The Solution

See it, explain it, predict it, then test the fix

The Power BI report as delivered comes first. Below it is a live companion dashboard built on a synthetic sales force shaped like the real one, with five modules you can filter, drill into and simulate.

01 · The Power BI report, as built

Attrition and decomposition-tree pages

Shown as delivered. Click a page to enlarge it.

Power BI attrition page with monthly attrition, headcount by month, state map and slicers
Attrition page. Attrition count and annualized attrition by month, headcount by month, a state map and slicers for band, age group and department.
Power BI decomposition tree splitting annualized attrition by NSM, ZSM, RSM and ASM
Decomposition tree. Annualized attrition split down the hierarchy: NSM, ZSM, RSM, ASM, with a department slicer.
Exits rising monthlyFrom 37 in April to 86–89 a month by Aug–Oct; annualized attrition climbed from 18% to 29%.
Headcount growing tooFrom 2,376 in April to 2,627 in October, so replacement hiring ran just to stand still.
25% annualizedThe headline card, with every state mapped by attrition and headcount.
NSM spread 15% to 57%+The decomposition tree showed one national average hiding very different teams.
02–06 · Live companion dashboard

Talent retention cockpit

Every chart below responds to the filters. Data is a synthetic sales force of 3,000 people (April–October) built to the same shape as the real report. No real employee data is used.

Department
Band Age

02 · Exits, annualized attrition and headcount by month

Bars: exits · line: annualized attrition (YTD) · shaded: headcount · dashed: projected Nov–Mar

Attrition by state

Tile map · colour = annualized attrition · number = headcount

Band × age group

Annualized attrition; hover for counts

Why people left

Coded exit-interview reasons, split by tenure at exit
Under 6 months6–12 monthsOver 12 months

When people left

Exits by tenure at exit (months)

03 · Sales hierarchy explorer

Department → NSM → ZSM → RSM → ASM. Bar height = headcount, colour = annualized attrition. Click any block to zoom in; use the crumbs to zoom out.
Decomposition path
Press “Find the hotspot” to follow the highest-attrition branch at each level.
Most exits · ASM teams in view

04 · AOP achievement vs attrition

Each bubble is a sales team. Teams far below target lose people fastest. Click a bubble to open it in the hierarchy.
Rural Consumer DurableRural LiabilitiesRural Term Loan

05 · What predicts an exit

Model drivers as odds ratios: how much each factor multiplies the odds of leaving

Risk scores vs what actually happened

Predicted risk for people who stayed and people who left (Apr–Oct)
StayedLeft

Personalised retention strategies by segment

Current employees, by their main risk driver. Expected exits are over the next six months, from the model.

06 · Retention simulator

Choose how much of each segment to cover. The model reruns 400 times over the next six months for every current employee in the filtered view.
Budget optimiser₹80 L
No actionWith your planBars: share of 400 simulated futures

Synthetic data for illustration only: names, teams, states and scores are generated. Segment costs, effect sizes and the ₹2.2 lakh cost per exit are indicative assumptions.

Impact Dashboard

Fewer exits where they hurt most

With targeted onboarding, AOP recalibration in struggling territories and focused retention offers, attrition fell fastest in the segments the model flagged.

Annualized attrition by segment

First half of the year, before vs after

100 critical-role holders, one year on

High-performing ASMs and RSMs: who stayed and who left

StayedLeftSaved by a retention action

Figures indicative; validated metrics available on request.

Before vs After

How HR and sales manage attrition now

DimensionBeforeAfter
Attrition viewOne national number, a month lateEvery NSM, ZSM, RSM and ASM team, every month
Root causesAnecdotes from exit interviewsCoded reasons linked to tenure, targets and managers
Targets and peopleAOP and attrition reviewed separatelyUnder-target territories flagged as attrition risks
Early warningFound out at resignationRisk scores about 60 days ahead
Retention spendGeneric schemes for everyoneSegment-specific actions, budget tested in a simulator
AccountabilityHR owned attrition aloneSales leaders review their own team's tree
Tools & Tech Used

From HR records to a retention plan

Power BI DAX, decomposition tree, Azure Maps Python pandas, scikit-learn risk model HRMS data headcount, joins, exits, bands AOP plans territory targets and achievement Surveys & exit interviews coded reasons Excel segment playbook and costing
Key Takeaways

What any sales-led business can borrow

01

Attrition is local

A small share of teams drove a large share of exits. The decomposition tree turned a national problem into named teams and named actions.

02

Targets and exits move together

Teams far below AOP lost people fastest, so target setting became a retention lever rather than just a sales one.

03

Spend where the risk is

Risk scores let HR fund the right action for the right segment, and the simulator showed the return before any money moved.